Queensland Economic Advocacy Solutions

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Anticipating Queensland’s Future Skill Needs

Jobs Queensland have released a very interesting report ‘Anticipating Future Skills: Jobs growth and alternative futures for Queensland to 2022.

It provides an evidence base for consideration of Queensland’s future skills needs that has been developed in consultation with industries and regions across Queensland.

More than 50 per cent of all new workers are projected to be employed in just three industries: Health Care and Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific and Technical Services; and Education and Training.

This reflects a continuation of a trend towards high levels of growth in service based industries and the occupations that underpin these industries. This project also provides projections of future qualifications in the Queensland labour market.  The workforce is projected to become more educated, with a clear shift towards higher levels of skill acquisition.

These projections can play a key role in informing decision making by government in VET investment, and skills and training policy more broadly. The outcomes from this project can also support industries and regions to consider and plan for the future workforce needs within their domains.

QEAS notes the baseline scenario which includes assumptions about the economy, the labour market and population and productivity growth, developed around the Queensland Government’s 2017–18 Budget Papers and other state government data.

Key results under the baseline scenario include:

·       It is projected that more than 50 per cent of all new workers will be employed in just three industries — Health Care and Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific and Technical Services; and Education and Training. 

·       Regions with the highest proportion of service industries are projected to see the greatest growth in employment, with the majority of growth in the south east corner. 

·       Professionals will remain the largest occupational grouping and are projected to grow strongly, as is the Community and Personal Service Workers group.

·       Under the baseline scenario, the Queensland employment is projected to grow by almost 190,000 jobs between 2017 and 2022, resulting in almost 2.6 million persons employed.

·       Growth in industry employment is varied. Employment in Health Care and Social Assistance is projected to grow strongly over the five years to 2021–22 and is projected to remain the largest employer, increasing its share of Queensland employment from 13 per cent in  2016–17 to 14.5 per cent in 2021–22.   

·       Employment in Information, Media and Telecommunications is projected to fall over the five years to 2021–22.

A link to the report is provided here.

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